A systematic review and extracted individual patient data meta-analysis of long-term outcomes in triple-negative breast cancer after a pathologic complete response: does the type of neoadjuvant therapy matter?

Authors

  • Lis Victória Ravani Universidade de São Paulo, Faculdade de Medicina – São Paulo (SP), Brazil.
  • Seth Wander Massachusetts General Hospital, Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology/Oncology – Boston, United States of America.
  • , Marleen Kok The Netherlands Cancer Institute, Divisions of Medical Oncology, Tumor Biology and Immunology, – Amsterdam, the Netherlands.
  • Javier Cortes Oncology Department, International Breast Cancer Center, Pangaea Oncology, Quiron Group, Medica Scientia Innovation Research – Barcelona, Spain. Universidad Europea de Madrid, Faculty of Biomedical and Health Sciences, Department of Medicine – Madrid, Spain
  • Romualdo Barroso Sousa Brasília Hospital, Oncology Department, DASA Oncology, DASA – Brasília (DF), Brazil.
  • José Bines Instituto Nacional de Câncer, Oncology Department – Rio de Janeiro (RJ), Brazil.
  • Laura Testa Instituto do Câncer do Estado de São Paulo, Oncology Department – São Paulo (SP), Brazil.
  • Renata Colombo Bonadio Instituto D’Or de Pesquisa e Ensino, Oncology Department – São Paulo (SP), Brazil.

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29289/259453942025V35S1016

Keywords:

meta-analysis, triple-negative breast cancer, pathologic complete response, immune checkpoint inhibitor, neoadjuvant treatment

Abstract

Introduction: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy is the standard of care for stage IB-III triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC),
with pathological complete response (pCR) strongly associated with survival. Although the escalation of neoadjuvant
therapies with platinum and immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) improves pCR rates and long-term outcomes, patients
with pCR in the control arms of pivotal trials also show favorable outcomes. Whether the type of neoadjuvant regimen
leading to pCR impacts long-term survival differently is largely unknown. Objective: Correlate the type of neoadjuvancy
performed for complete pathological response with the survival rate. Methods: A systematic review and meta-analysis
was conducted, searching the databases PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane, and conference proceedings for phase II and III
trials including early-stage patients with TNBC with pCR. A pooled analysis of Kaplan-Meier-derived individual patient
data was performed for event-free survival and overall survival, with subgroup analyses by treatment regimens. Results: Of
2,830 identified publications, 18 trials (16 randomized and 2 single-arm) comprising 3,430 patients with TNBC and pCR
were included. Neoadjuvant ICI with chemotherapy improved event-free survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.67; 95% confidence
interval [CI] 0.50–0.89; p<0.01) compared with chemotherapy-only regimens, with no significant overall survival difference
for patients with pCR (HR 0.84; 95%CI 0.50–1.41; p=0.51). In contrast, event-free and overall survival were not significantly
different regardless of platinum use (HR 0.55; 95%CI 0.20–1.50; p=0.24 and HR 0.33; 95%CI 0.09–1.22; p=0.10, respectively).
Similarly, anthracycline-containing regimens showed comparable event-free survival to anthracycline-free regimens (HR
0.86; 95%CI 0.51–1.45; p=0.58). For patients with pCR after ICI therapy, the benefit of adjuvant ICI for event-free or overall
survival was not statistically significant (HR 1.16; 95%CI 0.55–2.44; p=0.70 and HR 2.91; 95%CI 0.40–21.37; p=0.29, respectively). Conclusion: Neoadjuvant ICI-based regimens improved event-free survival in early-stage patients with TNBC
with pCR. However, adjuvant ICI after pCR appears to offer no additional benefit, and event-free survival remains unaffected by neoadjuvant chemotherapy type (with or without platinum or anthracycline).

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Published

2026-02-24

How to Cite

Ravani, L. V., Wander, S., Kok, , M., Cortes, J., Sousa, R. B., Bines, J., … Bonadio, R. C. (2026). A systematic review and extracted individual patient data meta-analysis of long-term outcomes in triple-negative breast cancer after a pathologic complete response: does the type of neoadjuvant therapy matter?. Mastology, 35(suppl.1). https://doi.org/10.29289/259453942025V35S1016

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General Session